Friday, November 15, 2013

TT - MM: High Probability Strangles, 11/15/13

TastyTrade - Market Measures

Takeout:

When making high probability trades in large indices with high IV Rank, how do we manage winners based on P/L per day?
  • Entry: 5 years in SPX, NDX, and RUT
    • IV Rank above 50%
    • Sold a 2SD Strangle (97.5% OTM)
  • Exit:
    • 25%, 50%, and 75% of max profit
    • Compared to closing day prior to expiration to avoid assignment
  • NDX had highest P/L-per-day at 25%
  • RUT had highest P/L-per-day at 50%, but only slightly more than at 25%
  • SPX had highest P/L-per-day at 25%
  • Short strangles tie up lots of capital so managing winners at 25% returns the highest P/L-per-day and reduces the number of days in trade
  • If you don't need to free up the capital, let these high probability trades run!

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