Showing posts with label thinkBack. Show all posts
Showing posts with label thinkBack. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 28, 2014

NFLX Pre-earnings Strangle

1/28/13

  • Selection criteria:
    • Underlying must normally experience a 2:1 volatility expansion prior to earnings
  • Trade:
    • 14 days before earnings (10 trading days)
    • BTO a Strangle (long Call + long Put) at .10 delta
    • STC day before earnings

NFLX last reported earnings on 1/22/13 after market close. On that day the Jan4 options had the highest IV at 149%. Using thinkBack we can buy a strangle on 1/8/13 when the Jan4 options had an IV of 75%. The .10 delta points to the 280P and the 425C.