Wednesday, January 8, 2014

VIX vs VXX, UVXY, VXZ, XXV

VIX

  • A measure of market expectation of S&P 500 volatility over the next 30 days
    • Simply: it measures how much people are willing to pay to buy or sell the S&P 500
    • If people are willing to pay more it represents uncertainty in the market
  • Counter index: when the market goes down the VIX usually goes up (and quickly)
  • A bullish outlook in the VIX is a bearish outlook in the market
  • No Underlying, therefore cannot own
  • Cash settled
  • No bid/ask
  • Different expiration dates
  • Option premiums are based on a future price, not the current market price
  • Future value is close to where the calls and puts are priced the same
  • Never trade a calendar in the VIX, what you pay/risk up front is NOT what you can lose


VXX

  • An exchange-traded note (ETN) that holds a long position in first and second month VIX futures contracts that roll daily
  • Trades like a normal product since it has an underlying that you can own
  • Same expiration dates as other equities
  • Short-term, not buy-and-hold; long-term holders will experience time decay
  • Be more aggressive when closing/rolling
  • During periods of low volatility VXX often trades higher than it otherwise should (pricing in an expectation of increased volatility)
  • During periods of high volatility it often trades lower than it should (pricing in an expectation of a return to lower volatility)


UVXY

  • Trades like the VXX but is double leveraged (Ultra)


VXZ

  • Structurally similar to the VXX, but it holds positions in fourth, fifth, sixth and seventh month VIX futures
  • Much more a measure of future volatility and tends to be a much less volatile than the VXX

XXV

  • Looks to replicate the performance of shorting the VXX

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