Friday, December 6, 2013

TT - WDIS: Strategy Checklist, 12/06/13



Jade Lizard

  1. Ideal market condition:  High market volatility. Relatively high VIX.
  2. Stock selection:  Extremely high IV Rank, or, oversold: (was $20 but now $15, with high IV Rank).
  3. Strike selection:  Nearest OTM put, credit determines strikes for calls.
  4. DTE:  Closest to 45 days.
  5. Close:  At 50% of max potential profit.
  6. Never adjust the call spread. Only repair the put if needed.

Iron Chicken (chicken iron condor)

  1. Ideal market condition:  High market volatility.
  2. Stock selection:  Decent IV, IV Rank over 50%.
  3. Strike selection:  Whatever brings in closest to 50/50 reward to risk, about 45% of the width of the strikes.
  4. DTE:  Closest to 45 days.
  5. Close:  Between 35-45% of max potential profit.
  6. Better to let go to expiration without any adjustments.

Calendar Spread

  1. Ideal market condition:  Market volatility not as relevant.
  2. Stock selection:  Low IV Rank, lots of liquidity. Stay away from binary inversion (back month IV higher due to a binary event).
  3. Strike selection:  35% probability OTM, downside if bearish, upside if bullish. Generally, choose indexes for down moves and equities for up moves.
  4. DTE:  About 15-25 days on front month, 45-55 days on back month.
  5. Close:  For about 50% more than what you paid.
  6. No adjustments for calendar spreads.

Ratio Spread

  1. Ideal market condition:  High market volatility.
  2. Stock selection:  High IV Rank.
  3. Strike selection:  Buy ATM or nearest OTM. Sell farther OTM.
  4. DTE:  is 45 days.
  5. Close:  At around 45% of max profit.
  6. Buy the synthetic short OTM option.  Ex. Suppose a stock is trading at $100, and you BTO +1 105C and STO -2 110C. If the stock goes from 100 up to 110, you would BTO +1 115C to create a butterfly.


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