Ideal market condition: High market volatility. Relatively high VIX.
Stock selection: Extremely high IV Rank, or, oversold: (was $20 but now $15, with high IV Rank).
Strike selection: Nearest OTM put, credit determines strikes for calls.
DTE: Closest to 45 days.
Close: At 50% of max potential profit.
Never adjust the call spread. Only repair the put if needed.
Iron Chicken (chicken iron condor)
Ideal market condition: High market volatility.
Stock selection: Decent IV, IV Rank over 50%.
Strike selection: Whatever brings in closest to 50/50 reward to risk, about 45% of the width of the strikes.
DTE: Closest to 45 days.
Close: Between 35-45% of max potential profit.
Better to let go to expiration without any adjustments.
Calendar Spread
Ideal market condition: Market volatility not as relevant.
Stock selection: Low IV Rank, lots of liquidity. Stay away from binary inversion (back month IV higher due to a binary event).
Strike selection: 35% probability OTM, downside if bearish, upside if bullish. Generally, choose indexes for down moves and equities for up moves.
DTE: About 15-25 days on front month, 45-55 days on back month.
Close: For about 50% more than what you paid.
No adjustments for calendar spreads.
Ratio Spread
Ideal market condition: High market volatility.
Stock selection: High IV Rank.
Strike selection: Buy ATM or nearest OTM. Sell farther OTM.
DTE: is 45 days.
Close: At around 45% of max profit.
Buy the synthetic short OTM option. Ex. Suppose a stock is trading at $100, and you BTO +1 105C and STO -2 110C. If the stock goes from 100 up to 110, you would BTO +1 115C to create a butterfly.
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