Tuesday, November 12, 2013

KSS Earnings Play

11/12/13 -Closed

KSS reports earnings on 11/14 before market open. The IV Rank is over 90% and the expected move of +/-2.83 by expiration is represented on the risk profile below. As you can see the break-even price levels are outside the expected move. NOV option vol should contract from 59% down to 28%.

  • Iron Condor, KSS @57.33
  • STO Nov 60 C (75% OTM)
  • BTO Nov 62.5 C
  • STO Nov 55 P (75% OTM)
  • BTO Nov 52.5 P
  • Credit = 0.72
  • Risk = 178
  • ROR = 40%
  • BE = 54.28, 60.72

Update: 11/14/13

KSS opened -$4.65, ouch. Roll the puts and let the calls expire.
  • Roll, KSS @54.18
  • STO Dec 55/52.5P Nov 55/52.5P
  • Credit = .17

Update: 12/18/13

  • BTC Dec 55/52.5P @0.59
  • Net = $30
  • ROR = 17% in 36 days

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